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Chamblee Redistricting Superintendent Recommendation

Posted on January 8, 2019 | 25 comments

The New John Lewis Elementary facility located at 2630 Skyland Drive will be opening Fall 2019.
Superintendent Recommendation – First Read – Jan 7 Board Meeting

John Lewis Elementary School
• Opening August 2019
• 900+ seat school
• 500+ seats of available capacity
• John R. Lewis ES is located in the current Chamblee Cluster
• Redistricting will go into effect in August 2019
• Students rising into 5th, 8th, 11th, and 12th grades will have the option to continue in their former school, with no transportation provided

Superintendent Recommendation
On October 2nd, October 24th, and November 27th of 2018 community meetings were held at Cross Keys HS seeking public input in the development of a plan to better utilize available capacity in John R. Lewis ES and relieve overcrowded schools in the Cross Keys cluster. Two options were presented for the 2019-2020 school year on October 24th of 2018 at Cross Keys HS in a public meeting which included facilitated, small-group discussion to gain public input related to the redistricting options. The input from the meeting was used in the development of a Staff Recommended Plan that was presented on November 27, 2018 at Cross Keys HS in another public meeting that included facilitated, small-group discussion to gain additional public input.

The input from all public meetings as well as input from an online comment form and comments from community members and parents sent to staff were used in development of the recommended plan that is being presented today.

The Superintendent’s recommended redistricting plan includes the following:
1. Redistrict approximately 22 students from Ashford Park ES to John Lewis ES
2. Redistrict no students from Dresden ES to John Lewis ES (area change only)
3. Redistrict approximately 93 students from Montclair ES to John Lewis ES
4. Redistrict approximately 213 students from Fernbank ES to John Lewis ES
5. Redistrict approximately 134 students from Woodward ES to John Lewis ES
6. Redistrict approximately 62 students from Briar Vista ES to John Lewis ES
7. Redistrict approximately 23 students from Briar Vista ES to Fernbank ES
8. Redistrict no students from Briar Vista ES to Woodward ES (area change only)
9. Redistrict no students from Laurel Ridge ES to Briar Vista ES (area change only)
10. Redistrict approximately 172 students from Laurel Ridge ES to Fernbank ES
11. Redistrict approximately 37 students from McLendon ES to Fernbank ES
12. Redistrict approximately 8 students from Chamblee MS to Sequoyah MS
13. Redistrict approximately 14 students from Chamblee HS to Cross Keys HS

This recommendation will result in a net reduction of approximately 27 portable classrooms in the Cross Keys and Druid Hills clusters and a reduction in overcrowding for next school year.

Supporting Documents

Superintendent Recommendation
Distance Map
Enrollment Report 2018
Enrollment Graphs
Current Elementary School Attendance Zones
Current Middle School Attendance Zones
Current High School Attendance Zones

3‐Year Redistricting Process

3-YEAR REDISTRICTING PROCESS
Redistricting Process	Estimated Opening	School
Fall 2018	Fall 2019	New John R. Lewis Elementary School
Fall 2019	Fall 2020	New Doraville Elementary School
Fall 2020	Fall 2021	Cross Keys Middle School Conversion, New Cross Keys High School, Chamblee Charter High School Building Addition

Related Posts

Chamblee Redistricting Options – Meeting 3
November 27, 2018 – The New John Lewis Brookhaven Elementary School will be opening Fall 2019 and will have over 500 additional seats of capacity. These are currently the two redistricting options being considered. Public meeting tonight to discuss.

Chamblee Redistricting Options – Meeting 2
October 24, 2018 – The New John Lewis Brookhaven Elementary School will be opening Fall 2019 and will have over 500 additional seats of capacity. These are currently the two redistricting options being considered. Public meeting tonight to discuss.

Redistricting For Schools in Chamblee & Brookhaven
September 6, 2018 – The New John Lewis Elementary facility will be opening Fall 2019 on Skyland Drive in Brookhaven. Three meeting redistricting process for schools in Chamblee and Brookhaven will start this October.

25 Comments

Posted in Chamblee High School, Redistricting

Tagged Chamblee Cluster, Redistricting

Dunwoody 7-Year Enrollment Forecasts

Posted on January 3, 2019 | 24 comments

DeKalb County School District (DCSD) has updated the long-term enrollment forecasts for each school year from the Fall of 2019 through the Fall of 2025.

METHOD
The forecast uses a method of population forecasting called “cohort‐survival analysis”. In this method, future enrollment is forecasted based on historic matriculation patterns from grade to grade, birth rates, future housing development, and historic patterns of school‐choice enrollment.

I don’t believe these estimates numerous developments coming down the pipe including the High Street Development which includes 1,500 condos and 1,500 apartments.

As recently as April 3, 2018, DCSD planning insisted that the current Peachtree MS 8th grade was the peak of enrollment. However, the administration didn’t have an answer for why then they were putting more trailers there.

Even with these conservative estimates, Dunwoody HS (DHS) enrollment is expected to exceed 2,300 by 2021. The current enrollment capacity for DHS is 1,505. The district plans on a 600 seat building addition to be completed in 2022. DHS will be at least 200 seats overcapacity on the day the seat additions are completed.

How are DHS Building Additions a good idea?
I don’t understand how adding 600 seats to DHS every 5 years is a good idea. The band practices in the basement, there is no choir room and all the common spaces were built to accommodate 1,500 students. The DHS building additions will not include any renovations or additions to existing media rooms, art rooms, hallways, gymnasium, locker rooms, administrative offices, storage, or any other core spaces or surrounding infrastructure.

Dunwoody Elementary School
DES is forecasted to reach almost 1,600 students over the next few years. The Austin ES rebuild will affect enrollment across the district.

Austin Elementary School Rebuild
In August, the district announced a delay in the opening of the new Austin ES. Redistricting process will be delayed one year: the process will occur in Fall 2019 (instead of Fall 2018) and the redistricting will be effective for Fall 2020 (instead of Fall 2019). The Austin ES existing school will move to the new building over Christmas break (2019-2020) for a partial (only existing Austin ES students) opening in January 2020. The redistricted students would then attend the new Austin ES in August 2020.

OVERVIEW
DeKalb Schools district wide enrollment grew from 99,091 in the Fall of 2012 to a peak of 101,801 in the Fall of 2014. Enrollment began to decrease in the Fall of 2015 and continued to decrease in the Fall of 2016 and 2017 before falling to 99,212 in the Fall of 2018. The DCSD Long‐Term Forecast projects enrollment to continue to decrease to 97,026 enrolled in 2025.

ENROLLMENT BY REGION
Enrollment in Region 1 (Dunwoody, Chamblee, Cross Keys clusters) is expected to increase from 19,452 in 2018 to 20,010 in 2025 (+2.9%). Enrollment in Region 2 is expected to decrease from 17,906 to 17,414 in 2024 (‐2.7%). Enrollment in Region 3 is expected to decrease from 10,963 to 9,941 (‐9.3%). Enrollment in Region 4 is expected to decrease slightly from 9,895 to 9,860 (‐0.4%). Enrollment in Region 5 is expected to decrease from 12,357 to 11,512 (‐6.8%). Enrollment in Region 6 is expected to decrease from 7,138 to 6,713 (‐6.0%). Region 7 is expected to decrease from 7,329 to 7,194 (‐1.8%).

KEY – DEFINITIONS
All – All students residing in the attendance area
Enrollment – All students enrolled in the school, regardless of residence
ResAttendee – All students residing in the attendance area and enrolled in the school

DUNWOODY HIGH SCHOOL

Year – Enrollment
2012 – 1,510
2013 – 1,563
2014 – 1,679
2015 – 1,679
2016 – 1,822
2017 – 2,982
2018 – 2,095
2019 – 2,234
2020 – 2,273
2021 – 2,348
2022 – 2,316
2023 – 2,311
2024 – 2,363
2025 – 2,337

PEACHTREE MIDDLE SCHOOL

Year – Enrollment
2012 – 1,339
2013 – 1,378
2014 – 1,398
2015 – 1,478
2016 – 1,550
2017 – 1,572
2018 – 1,589
2019 – 1,584
2020 – 1,615
2021 – 1,614
2022 – 1,632
2023 – 1,554
2024 – 1,552
2025 – 1,513

Dunwoody Elementary School Enrollment Forecast 2019 – 2025